Start The Day With A Watson Filly
Conditions Look Right For Tudhope Mount
With heavy rain overnight in many parts of the country and more forecast, horses with at least a probable propensity to go on ground with give look the order of the day. MRS DUKESBURY has only raced three times, all on a good surface, but her sire, 2013 Derby winner Ruler Of The World, was shortheaded on soft ground in the Prix Niel and his progeny are four from 24 on it, a very reasonable 17%.
The filly makes her handicap debut in the British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Nursery Handicap at Thirsk. and ran a race full of promise first time up at Lingfield when second to Miss Matterhorn. While she has slightly disappointed since, she does look as though she has the ability to win a race and this step up to a mile can only help. Trainer and jockey are bang in form, the former operating at a win rate of 22% in the last fortnight, and Tudhope at 15%. They are a very convincing 31% together at Thirsk.
EBONY ADAMS, a winner over six furlongs at Nottingham last-time-out is favourite and probable main danger but her sire Fountain Of Youth was a top of the ground sprinter, not the ideal profile here. SUSIE JAVEA did better than her 66/1 price would have suggested when beaten a couple of lengths in a seller last time, but at an easily found 9/4, Mrs Dukesbury can get the day off to a good start.